Bottom Line Up Front
* U.S. President Donald Trump hosted the inaugural meeting of the Board of Peace yesterday in Washington, D.C., attended by more than two dozen world leaders.
* During the inaugural Board of Peace meeting, President Trump framed the war in Gaza as “effectively over,” despite ongoing ceasefire violations.
* From a geopolitical perspective, it is impossible to disaggregate the situation in Gaza from what is happening in the West Bank, as rampant instability in one theater inevitably spills over to the other.
* The Board of Peace has the potential to evolve into a successful coordination platform if it manages the myriad issues, but, absent that, it risks becoming diplomatic noise in an already overburdened geopolitical landscape.
Yesterday, U.S. President Donald Trump hosted the inaugural meeting of the Board of Peace (https://thesoufancenter.org/i
war in Gaza (https://thesoufancenter.org/i
More consequential than the funding shortfall is the sequencing dilemma at the heart of the reconstruction plan. Reconstruction is being conditioned on Hamas’s disarmament, yet disarmament presupposes a legitimate authority capable of exercising control inside Gaza. Reports indicate that the U.S.-backed National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG) has not been permitted to enter the territory. Without credible administrative presence, reconstruction funds risk becoming inutile. The Gaza-centric focus of the board should be considered within the broader Israeli-Palestinian landscape, which remains highly unstable. In the West Bank (https://thesoufancenter.org/i
spills over to the other. Donor states and regional actors will evaluate the sustainability of reconstruction efforts not only by the durability of the ceasefire in Gaza, but also by the trajectory of territorial, legal, and security developments across the Palestinian arena as a whole.
While the concept for the Board of Peace originated in the Trump administration’s 20-point Gaza ceasefire plan, endorsed by the UN Security Council, the Board has proved controversial. According to its charter, President Trump will serve as permanent chairman, even after leaving office, and will have sole authority to admit members and determine the Board’s direction. To achieve permanent membership, participants must purchase a seat for $1 billion. While Hungary’s Viktor Orbán (https://thesoufancenter.org/i
Yesterday’s meeting further revealed longstanding geopolitical divisions among the various constituents. Over 20 countries attended, but several major Western allies — including the United Kingdom, France, and Germany — either declined formal membership or sent lower-level envoys in their place. Overall, this demonstrates skepticism of the Board’s mandate and its relationship to existing multilateral structures. The Vatican also declined to participate, another sign that a politically driven framework could seriously attenuate the coordinating role of multilateral organizations, such as the United Nations, in humanitarian and peace operations. Paris publicly expressed concern that the European Commission attended as an observer, even without a “mandate” from EU member states.
However, overlaying these institutional questions is the Iran file, which President Trump explicitly folded into the day’s narrative. He reiterated that the United States seeks a “meaningful deal” on Iran’s nuclear program and suggested “bad things” will happen otherwise, noting the situation would likely be clearer “over the next probably 10 days.” Escalation with Iran (https://thesoufancenter.org/i
The Board of Peace’s inaugural meeting succeeded in mobilizing attention and generating headlines. However, Gaza’s reconstruction cannot be insulated from unresolved sovereignty questions, intra-Palestinian political fragmentation, Israeli security doctrine, West Bank volatility, and deepening U.S.–Iran tensions. The Board of Peace has the potential to evolve into a successful coordination platform if it manages these issues. Absent that, it risks becoming diplomatic noise added to an already overburdened geopolitical landscape.
